Saturday, September 26, 2009

The decline of the U.S. dollar

The world knows and is admitting the fact that the U.S. dollar is rapidly being devalued. I have yet to hear about this from the major news outlets or from the U.S. government. This is another sign of the decline of America and the shifting of its power and influence in the world to developing countries. The U.N. has already called for the dollar to be replaced as the world's reserve currency. And now the world's largest bank is calling for a new global reserve currency. Investing websites have also acknowledged this fact, although this website does want to sell you something, and they have recommended investors invest a good amount of their money in foreign currencies--a smart thing to do because that is where most of the growth that will occur in the world will come from. The fact is that the U.S. dollar is being devalued along with America.

"One of the world's largest banks is bidding farewell to the U.S. dollar – just as the dollar faces intense scrutiny at today's G-20 summit and the United Nations announces it wants a new global reserve currency replacement. "The dollar looks awfully like sterling[highly devalued due to the debt Britain owed after that war] after the First World War,' David Bloom, HSBC currency chief, told London's Telegraph. The whole picture of risk-reward for emerging market currencies has changed. It is not so much that they have risen to our standards, it is that we have fallen to theirs. It used to be that sovereign risk was mainly an emerging market issue but the events of the last year have shown that this is no longer the case. Look at the U.K. – debt is racing up to 100 percent of GDP,' he said China and rising Asia can no longer continue holding down their currencies to boost exports because it's hurting their own economies, creating asset bubbles, the Telegraph reported. 'The policy headache was already becoming clear in the final phase of the global credit boom but the financial crisis temporarily masked the effect,' the report states. 'The pressures will return with a vengeance as these countries roar back to life, leaving the U.S. and other laggards of the old world far behind.'" Far behind.

"Craig Smith, president and CEO of Swiss America Trading Corporation, a national investment firm specializing in U.S. gold and silver coins, has been [warning about the decline of the dollar for many years. 'It is now happening before our eyes]," Smith said. "The dollar is getting ready to get hammered, and there is no way for the Fed to stop it.'" I would add that it appears that the Fed's and the government's policies have led to the decline of the U.S. dollar.

I could do another article on America's decline of influence and power on the world stage and the fact that China and developing countries are rising at the expense of America's prosperity. Globalization is becoming more pronounced. The dollar has been on the decline for some time now; but with recent economic conditions, this development has sped up and has become more pronounced. What does this mean for the average person? I think it is interesting because it shows a slow shift of where the power and influence on the world stage will be. If you have your money invested, a good portion should be put in foreign markets and one might like having their money held in a stronger currency or metals. I don't know how this particular development completely fits in to the overall picture of world affairs. I would like to know how this fits into the purposeful attempts of the government through cap and trade and the Environmental movement to transfer the wealth around the world. America's currency along with the whole nation is on the decline while the world as a whole is on the rise.

4 comments:

  1. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  2. I've never been able to figure out the logic one way or other about what's good for the US economy regarding strength of the dollar. It seems that a low dollar will boost exports. But, it will also make things made overseas (wow, just about everything!) more expensive.

    Also not sure about the importance of the Dollar being the world standard currency. It's just possible it could hurt others' economies worse than ours to change it.

    A complicated topic. Maybe our International Economics expert can weigh in!

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  3. This is complex and I can try to state my unorganized thoughts on this. Maybe someone who know a lot about this can state how this all is not a bad thing. But first, my whole point was that America's power and influence in the world is growing smaller and the world as a whole is becoming more united.

    Look at any nation whose currency became worthless or was highly devalued. The dollar is on the decline. It is not good for the whole economy. It is a symptom of the overall decline of the U.S. economy. This usually leads to the decline of the whole nation--not necessarily the end of it.

    Instead of having a standard currency based off of one nations currency--the dollar, it will be a new global currency based off of a global standard. I don't know if this is necessarily a bad thing. With the global economy becoming more interconnected, this new global currency seems the next logical step. America's influence on the world stage is on the decline. Like you said a declining dollar could mean that the nation's products cost less to the world, so they will buy more of our stuff. Yet at the same time the nation's economy is being based more on production of services and not actual material goods. If a nation has a strong currency, then this fact will cause capital from other nations to flow into the country. The opposite is true: a weak currency will cause capital to flow out of the country. America will become poorer as capital flows out of our country while the world becomes richer. A truly global currency--an international standard of what currencies will be based off of, in effect a single global currency with many different names--will solve some of these issues with export/imports as they relate to the value of the various country's currency?

    Most nations at one time were on the gold standard. And most of the other nations fixed their currency to those nations that used the gold standard. So basically all nations currencies were equivalent to a given amount of gold. The gold standard was done away with and was replaced by what some government determined. Now instead of this monetary standard being determined by one nation's currency, it will be determined by the international body--it sort of is now. They replaced the world's currencies standard from that of the unchangeable gold standard; and once that was done away with, it set it up to where the various currencies of the world could be based off of what the international body determines. Loosening the chains of reality--the value of money can be determined by some international body's choice, again not really new. For the world's economies to become more united, it is necessary for the current standard, a single nation, to be devalued so that it can be replaced by a global currency. A shift is the global economy is taking place--a realignment.

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  4. I could be completely off on this.

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