Thursday, December 29, 2011

16,400,000,000,000

The new debt limit is sixteen point four trillion dollars or 1.64X10^13.
The Obama administration will ask Congress to raise the nation's borrowing limit by $1.2 trillion this week, marking the third and final increase from a deal negotiated over summer.[...]

In August, Congress and the administration agreed to raise the borrowing limit by $2.1 trillion in three steps. The deal was reached hours before a potential default on the nation's debt and only after the parties also agreed to cut more than $2 trillion from the deficit over the next 10 years.
Those two trillion dollars in "cuts" are not real cuts.

Both parties tell us that the debt-limit deal includes $2 trillion in spending cuts, and the national media dutifully reports that those cuts are severe, yet the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) tells us that we are still on course for the national debt to increase by $8 trillion over the next 10 years. Why doesn’t the discussion over the federal budget, spending and debt in Washington make any sense?

It is called baseline budgeting. Here is how the hocus pocus works. The CBO assumes a “baseline” for federal spending over the next 10 years that includes federal spending increases of $9.5 trillion over that time. Any increase in those 10 years of less than $9.5 trillion will be reported by CBO as a cut in federal spending.

Also the government just released some numbers

That professionalism is evident in the GAO analysis of the net present value of the Social Security and Medicare promises Washington has made to Americans. “Net present value” means the total that would have to be set aside today to pay the costs of these programs in the future. The government puts these numbers in appendices, rather than in headlines. But the costs are real.

In fiscal 2011, the cost of the promises grew from $30.9 trillion to $33.8 trillion. To put that in context, consider that the total value of companies traded on U.S. stock markets is $13.1 trillion, based on the Wilshire 5000 index, and the value of the equity in U.S. taxpayers’ homes, according to Freddie Mac, is $6.2 trillion. Said another way, there is not enough wealth in America to meet those promises.


Bottom line: the nation is headed for a debt crisis, the Republicans have failed to cuts spending as promised and there is no viable Republican candidate for president that plans to cut spending of the magnitude necessary to prevent the looming debt crisis, and there is extremely little possibility of the debt being reduced in the future as to do so would mean a depression.

6 comments:

  1. A boost of about $5k per american citizen. Scary to think I owe about 135k (http://www.usdebtclock.org/) in national debt as a taxpayer.

    I always think about the first 40sec of this banned US commercial when thinking about the debt problem.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s2rMnov4Ae8

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  2. I remember seeing a commerical similar to this. The Chinese have already laughed at our Treasury Secretary when he went over their telling them that their investment in U.S treasuries was safe and that inflation will no be a problem:
    "Telegraph: In his first official visit to China since becoming Treasury Secretary, Mr Geithner told politicians and academics in Beijing that he still supports a strong US dollar, and insisted that the trillions of dollars of Chinese investments would not be unduly damaged by the economic crisis. Speaking at Peking University, Mr Geithner said: "Chinese assets are very safe." The comment provoked loud laughter from the audience of students."

    Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/chinese-students-laugh-at-tim-geithner-2009-6#ixzz1hz6LFhst

    The fact is that this debt will never be paid off and the world will have to form some new global economic agreement to forgive each other of all of this debt or deal with a lost of social cohesion and war.

    Debt is how nations fall.

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  3. Ron Paul would be the best candidate at dealing with the debt. I think his plan is as close as we can ask to being the drastic cuts that you speak of.

    Here is an explanation of his plan:

    http://www.wnyc.org/articles/its-free-country/2011/oct/18/ron-pauls-cuts/

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  4. ToeJamm, Jeff said "no -viable- candidate".

    KP is a friend of ToeJamm's and a friend of the blog.

    The problem is dire. But if Republicans can take the Senate and White House this fall (a very big if) that will be a powerful mandate to get something done. I agree that they may not be up to doing everything necessary to fix the problem. But if they get the mandate, they will at least take a shot at it.

    Fiscal conservatism will be the driving force of a triumvirate Republican government.

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  5. Ohhhhhhh, my bad. Then we're screwed.

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