So, what do we see in Syria at the moment? It's almost a reversal of Iraq, with the only common denominator the Ba'athist political affiliation of the dictator.
- In Iraq, the Ba'athist leader was a Sunni in a majority Shiite nation. In Syria, the leader is an Alawite (sub-sect of Shia) in a majority Sunni nation.
- In Iraq, the Iranians supported the majority, in Syria, they support the minority.
- In Iraq, oil was a big issue, in Syria, not.
- In both cases, there is documented evidence of the dictator using poison gas against his opponents.
- In Iraq, the dictator had already brutally suppressed armed opposition to his regime, in Syria, there is an ongoing civil war, and the dictator's chance of victory is not as certain.
- In Iraq, the dictator had a long history of provocations against the United States, some minor, some major, and the United States was already militarily involved in Iraq, having maintained a no-fly zone there for over a decade before the invasion and having already fought one war against Iraq to expel Iraq from Kuwait; in Syria, I can think of no provocation aimed at the United States ever in its history, and we have had no military involvement there previously. Syria has supported the Shiite terrorist group Hizballah, but that is aimed at their arch-enemy Israel, not the United States.
But, let's not get too worked up about this, because what is Obamawar? Nothing more than lobbing a few cruise missiles at Assad, that won't do anything except piss everyone off: the Assad regime, because now we really have made ourselves their enemies, and the Sunni rebels that will rightly say that we didn't do anything that amounted to anything. This technique is copied from the Clinton (after the African embassy bombings killed hundreds), and depressingly, Reagan (after Khaddafi's agents committed the Lockerbie airline bombing, killing at least 100 Americans), method of responding to Muslim terrorism: lob some cruise missiles, or drop some bombs and call it good.
There are no good guys or good answers for Syria. To me, the best option is to stay out of something that is none of our business. Islamic fundamentalists will never be on our side, and at least Assad is not working actively against us, murderous tyrant though he is. Maybe Obama will deign to ask Congress their opinion, but doubtful. He doesn't need to. The imperial president, with the press in his pocket, can do whatever he wants and not worry about being called on it.
Slightly off topic, but it's interesting that even the Egyptians believe Obama is a Muslim Brotherhood supporter . And are not happy about it!